Dr. Noel S. Keenlyside
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Research Interests
- Decadal variability and predictability of climate
- Tropical interannual climate variability and predictability
- Past and future tropical and extra-tropical storm activity
- Development of coupled climate models of intermediate to full complexity
Publications
Refereed publications:
- Weisheimer, A., F.J. Doblas-Reyes, T.N. Palmer, A. Alessandri, A. Arribas, M. Deque, N. Keenlyside, M. MacVean, A. Navarra, P. Rogel, 2009: ENSEMBLES - a new multi-model ensemble for seasonal-to-annual predictions: Skill and progress beyond DEMETER in forecasting tropical Pacific SSTs, Geophys. Res. Letts., Vol. 36, No. 21, L21711
- Meehl, G. A., L. Goddard, J. Murphy, R. J. Stouffer, G. Boer, G. Danabasoglu, K. Dixon, M. A. Giorgetta, A. Greene, E. Hawkins, G. Hegerl, D. Karoly, N. Keenlyside, M. Kimoto, B. Kirtman, A. Navarra, R. Pulwarty, D. Smith, D. Stammer, and T. Stockdale, 2009: Decadal Prediction: Can it be skillful? Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 90, 1467-1485
- Wahl, S., M. Latif, W. Park, and N. Keenlyside, 2009: On the Tropical Atlantic SST warm bias in the Kiel Climate Model, Climate Dyn., DOI 10.1007/s00382-009-0690-9
- Doblas-Reyes, F. J., A. Weisheimer, M. Déqué, N. Keenlyside, M. McVean, J. Murphy, P. Rogel, D. Smith, T. N. Palmer, 2009: Addressing model uncertainty in seasonal and annual dynamical ensemble forecasts, Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 135, 1538 - 1559
- M. Latif, W. Park, H. Ding, and N. Keenlyside, 2009: Internal and External North Atlantic Sector Variability in the Kiel Climate Model, Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 18, 433-443.
- Ding, H., N. S. Keenlyside, and M. Latif 2009: Seasonal cycle in the upper equatorial Atlantic Ocean, J. Geophys. Res., 114, C09016, doi:10.1029/2009JC005418
- Hodson, D. L. R., R. T. Sutton, C. Cassou, N. Keenlyside, Y. Okumura, and T. Zhou, 2009: Climate impacts of recent multidecadal changes in Atlantic Ocean Sea Surface Temperature: A Multimodel comparison. Climate Dyn., DOI - 10.1007/s00382-009-0571-2.
- Zhou, T., R. Yu, J. Zhang, H. Drange, C. Cassou, C. Deser, D. L. R. Hodson, E. Sanchez-Gomez , J. Li, N. Keenlyside, X. Xin, Y. Okumura, 2009: Why the Western Pacific Subtropical High has Extended Westward since the Late 1970s?, J. Climate, 22, 2199–2215.
- L. Bengtsson, K. I. Hodges, and N. Keenlyside, 2009: Will extra-tropical storms intensify in a warmer climate?, J. Climate, 22, 2276–2301.
- Jansen, M. F., D. Dommenget, N. S. Keenlyside, 2009: Tropical Atmosphere-Ocean Interactions in a Conceptual Framework, J. Climate, 22, 550-567.
- Park, W., N. S. Keenlyside, M. Latif, A. Stroeh, R. Redler, E. Roeckner, G. Madec, 2009: Tropical Pacific Climate and its Response to Global Warming in the Kiel Climate Model, J. Climate, 22, 71-92.
- Latif, M. and N. S. Keenlyside, 2008: El Niño/Southern Oscillation Response to Global Warming, PNAS, doi:10.1073/pnas.0710860105.
- Sanchez-Gomez, E., C. Cassou, D. L. R. Hodson, N. Keenlyside, Y. Okmura, and T. Zhou, 2008: Multi-model signature of the Indian and Western Pacific oceans warming in the occurrence of the North Atlantic weather regimes, Geophys. Res. Letts., 35, L15706.
- Keenlyside, N.S., M. Latif, J. Jungclaus, L. Kornblueh, and E. Roeckner, 2008: Advancing Decadal-Scale Climate Prediction in the North Atlantic Sector. Nature, 453, 84-88.
- Matei, D., N.S. Keenlyside, M. Latif, and J. Jungclaus, 2008: Subtropical Forcing of Tropical Pacific Climate and Decadal ENSO Modulation. J. Climate, 21, 4691-4709.
- Hetzinger, S., M. Pfeiffer, W.-C. Dullo, N.S. Keenlyside, M. Latif, and J. Zinke, 2008: Caribbean Brain Coral Tracks Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and Past Hurricane Intensity. Geology, 36, 11-14.
- M. Latif, C. Böning, J. Willebrand, A. Biastoch, F. Alvarez, N.S. Keenlyside, and H. Pohlmann, 2007: Decadal to Multidecadal Variability of the Atlantic MOC: Mechanisms and Predictability. In AGU Monograph 173 “Ocean Circulation: Mechanisms and Impacts – Past and Future Changes of Meridional Overturning”, A. Schmittner, J.C.H. Chiang, and S.R. Hemming (Eds.), 149 -166.
- Bengtsson, L., K. I. Hodges, M. Esch, N.S. Keenlyside, L. Kornblueh, J.-J. Luo and T. Yamagata, 2007: How may Tropical Cyclones Change in a Warmer Climate? Tellus, 59A, 539-561.
- Keenlyside, N.S. and M. Latif 2007: Understanding equatorial Atlantic interannual variability. J. Climate, 20 (1), 131-142.
- Keenlyside, N.S., M. Latif, and A. Dürkop, 2007: On Sub-ENSO Variability. J. Climate, 20, 3452–3469.
- Latif, M., N.S. Keenlyside, and J. Bader, 2007: Tropical sea surface temperature, vertical wind shear, and hurricane development. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L01710, doi:10.1029/2006GL027969
- Latif, M. M. Collins, H. Pohlmann, and N.S. Keenlyside, 2006: A Review of Predictability Studies of Atlantic Sector Climate on Decadal Time-Scales. J. Climate, 19 (23), 5971-5987.
- Jungclaus, J.H., N.S. Keenlyside, M. Botzet, H. Haak, J.-J. Luo, M. Latif, J. Marotzke, U. Mikolajewicz, and E. Roeckner, 2006: Ocean circulation and Tropical Variability in the Coupled Model ECHAM5/MPI-OM. J. Climate, 19 (16), 3952-3972.
- Latif, M., C. Böning, J. Willebrand, A. Biastoch, J. Dengg, N.S. Keenlyside, U. Schweckendiek and G. Madec, 2006: Is the Thermohaline Circulation Changing? J. Climate, 19 (18), 4631-4637.
- Wetzel, P., E. Maier-Reimer, M. Botzet, and J. Jungclaus, N.S. Keenlyside, and M. Latif (2006): Effects of Ocean Biology on the Penetrative Radiation in a Coupled Climate Model. J. Climate, 19 (18), 3973-3987.
- Zhang, R.-H., S. E. Zebiak, R. Kleeman, and N.S. Keenlyside, 2005: Retrospective El Niño Hindcasts/Forecasts Using an Improved Intermediate Coupled Model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 133, 2777-2802.
- Keenlyside, N.S., M. Latif, M. Botzet, J. Jungclaus, and U. Schulzweida, 2005: A coupled method for initializing El Niño Southern Oscillation forecasts using sea surface temperature. Tellus, 57A(3), 340-356.
- Zhang, R.-H., R. Kleeman, S. E. Zebiak, N.S. Keenlyside, and S. Raynaud 2005: An Empirical Parameterization of Subsurface Entrainment Temperature for Improved SST Anomaly Simulations in an Intermediate Ocean Model. J. Climate, 18(2), 350-371.
- T. N. Palmer, A. Alessandri, U. Andersen, P. Cantelaube, M. Davey, P. Délécluse, M. Déqué, E. Díez, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, H. Feddersen, R. Graham, S. Gualdi, J.-F. Guérémy, R. Hagedorn, M. Hoshen, N.S. Keenlyside, M. Latif, A. Lazar, E. Maisonnave, V. Marletto, A. P. Morse, B. Orfila, P. Rogel, J.-M. Terres and M. C. Thomson, 2004: Development of a European Multimodel Ensemble for Seasonal-to-Interannual Prediction (DEMETER). Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 85(6), 853-872.
- Zhang, R.-H., S. E. Zebiak, R. Kleeman, and N.S. Keenlyside, 2003: A New Intermediate Coupled Model for El Niño Simulation and Prediction. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30(19), 2012, doi:10.1029/2003GL018010.
- Keenlyside, N.S., and R. Kleeman, 2002: Annual Cycle of Equatorial Zonal Currents in the Pacific. J. Geophys. Res., 107(C8), 3093, doi:10.1029/2000JC000711
- Arif, I., I. A. Newman and N. Keenlyside, 1995: Theoretical paper: Proton flux measurements from tissues in buffered solution, Plant, Cell and Environment, 18, 1319-1324
Submitted publications:
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Meng, Q., M. Latif, W. Park, and N.S. Keenlyside, 2009: Did the Walker Circulation Weaken during the 20th Century? submitted
- Semenov, V. A., M. Latif, D. Dommenget, N. S. Keenlyside, A. Strehz, T. Martin and W. Park, 2008, The Impact of North-Atlantic Multidecadal Variability on Northern Hemisphere Surface Air Temperature, Geophys. Res. Lett., submitted.
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Hansen, H., M. Latif, and N. S. Keenlyside, 2009: Sensitivity of Equatorial Pacific Climate to Wind Stress Parameterization, Climate Dynamics, submitted
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Lübbecke, J. F., C. W. Böning, N. S. Keenlyside, and S.-P. Xie, 2009, On the connection between Benguela and Equatorial Atlantic Niños and the role of the South Atlantic Anticyclone, J. Geophys. Res. Oce., submitted
Other publications:
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Hurrell, J., T. Delworth, G. Danabasoglu, H. Drange, S. Griffies, N. Holbrook, B. Kirtman, N. Keenlyside, M. Latif, J. Marotzke, G. Meehl, T. Palmer, H. Pohlmann, T. Rosati, R. Seager, D. Smith, R. Sutton, A. Timmermann, K. Trenberth, and J.Tribbia, 2009, Decadal Climate Prediction: Opportunities and Challenges, Community White Papers for OceanObs'09
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N. Keenlyside, Clean air policy and Arctic warming, Nature Geosciences (News & Views), 2, 243-244, 2009.
- N. Keenlyside, N. Omrani, K. Krüger, M. Latif and A. Scaife, 2008: Decadal predictability: How might the stratosphere be involved? SPARC Newsletter 31, 23-27, 2008.
- Weisheimer, A., F. Doblas-Reyes, P. Rogel, E. Da Costa, N.S. Keenlyside, M. Balmaseda, J. Murphy, D. Smith, M. Collins, B. Bhaskaran, and T. Palmer (2007): Initialisation Strategies for Decadal Hindcasts for the 1960-2005 Period Within the ENSEMBLES Project, ECMWF Technical Memorandum, No. 521, 12pp.
- Latif, M., M. Collins, R. J. Stouffer, H. Pohlmann, and N.S. Keenlyside (2004): The Physical Basis for Prediction of Atlantic Sector Climate on Decadal Timescales. CLIVAR Exchanges 9, 6-8.
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Macke, A., K. Bumke, D. Dommenget, N.S. Keenlyside, K. Krüger, M. Latif, T. Martin, and E. Ruprecht (2006): Institute stellen sich vor: Die Forschungseinheit Maritime Meteorologie des Leibniz-Instituts für Meereswissenschaften IFM-GEOMAR an der Universität Kiel. Promet 32(1-2), 79-82.
Awards
- 2007: Fellow in the Emmy Noether Program of the DFG (German Research Foundation)
- 2006: NORBERT GERBIER - MUMM International Award
Projekte
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German Research Foundation (DFG) – Japan Society for the Promotion Science (JSPS): Atmospheric response to Gulf Stream and Kuroshio variability: its role in the climate system
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Nachwuchsgruppe im Rahmen des DFG Emmy Noether Programms: "Mechanismen und Vorhersagbarkeit der Nordatlantischen Variabilität auf dekadischen Zeitskalen"
- Joint DFG - Taiwan NSC scientific exchange grant: Scale Interactions in a Coupled Climate Model
Curriculum Vitae
Education: |
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1997-2001 | Doctor of Philosophy, Monash University, Australia |
1996 | First Class Honours in Physics, University of Tasmania |
1992-1995 | Bachelor of Science (Physics and Mathematics), University of Tasmania |
Employment: | |
2008 to present | Head, Emmy Noether Research Group, IFM-GEOMAR |
2005-2008 | Research Scientist, IFM-GEOMAR |
2003-2005 | Postdoctoral fellow, IFM-GEOMAR (former Institute for Marine Research, University of Kiel) |
2001-2003 | Postdoctoral fellow, Max-Planck-Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg |
1997-2001 | Tutor, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Monash University |


