Office: Phone: ++49 431-600 4054 Fax: ++49 431-600 4052 nkeenlyside (a) ifm-geomar.de   Mailing address: Leibniz Institute of Marine Sciences at Kiel University (IFM-GEOMAR) Ocean Circulation and Climate Dynamics - Marine Meteorology - Leibniz-Institut für Meereswissenschaften Düsternbrooker Weg 20 24105 Kiel, Germany

• Decadal variability and predictability of climate
• Tropical interannual climate variability and predictability
• Past and future tropical and extra-tropical storm activity
• Development of coupled climate models of intermediate to full complexity

 

Refereed publications:

1. Weisheimer, A., F.J. Doblas-Reyes, T.N. Palmer, A. Alessandri, A. Arribas, M. Deque, N. Keenlyside, M. MacVean, A. Navarra, P. Rogel, 2009: ENSEMBLES - a new multi-model ensemble for seasonal-to-annual predictions: Skill and progress beyond DEMETER in forecasting tropical Pacific SSTs, Geophys. Res. Letts., Vol. 36, No. 21, L21711
2. Meehl, G. A., L. Goddard, J. Murphy, R. J. Stouffer, G. Boer, G. Danabasoglu, K. Dixon, M. A. Giorgetta, A. Greene, E. Hawkins, G. Hegerl, D. Karoly, N. Keenlyside, M. Kimoto, B. Kirtman, A. Navarra, R. Pulwarty, D. Smith, D. Stammer, and T. Stockdale, 2009: Decadal Prediction: Can it be skillful? Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 90, 1467-1485
3. Wahl, S., M. Latif, W. Park, and N. Keenlyside, 2009: On the Tropical Atlantic SST warm bias in the Kiel Climate Model, Climate Dyn., DOI 10.1007/s00382-009-0690-9
4. Doblas-Reyes, F. J., A. Weisheimer, M. Déqué, N. Keenlyside, M. McVean, J. Murphy, P. Rogel, D. Smith, T. N. Palmer, 2009: Addressing model uncertainty in seasonal and annual dynamical ensemble forecasts, Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 135, 1538 - 1559
5. M. Latif, W. Park, H. Ding, and N. Keenlyside, 2009: Internal and External North Atlantic Sector Variability in the Kiel Climate Model, Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 18, 433-443.
6. Ding, H., N. S. Keenlyside, and M. Latif 2009: Seasonal cycle in the upper equatorial Atlantic Ocean, J. Geophys. Res., 114, C09016, doi:10.1029/2009JC005418
7. Hodson, D. L. R., R. T. Sutton, C. Cassou, N. Keenlyside, Y. Okumura, and T. Zhou, 2009: Climate impacts of recent multidecadal changes in Atlantic Ocean Sea Surface Temperature: A Multimodel comparison. Climate Dyn., DOI  - 10.1007/s00382-009-0571-2.
8. Zhou, T., R. Yu, J. Zhang, H. Drange, C. Cassou, C. Deser, D. L. R. Hodson, E. Sanchez-Gomez , J. Li, N. Keenlyside, X. Xin, Y. Okumura, 2009: Why the Western Pacific Subtropical High has Extended Westward since the Late 1970s?, J. Climate, 22, 2199–2215.
9. L. Bengtsson, K. I. Hodges, and N. Keenlyside, 2009:  Will extra-tropical storms intensify in a warmer climate?, J. Climate, 22, 2276–2301.
10. Jansen, M. F., D. Dommenget, N. S. Keenlyside, 2009: Tropical Atmosphere-Ocean Interactions in a Conceptual Framework, J. Climate, 22, 550-567.
11. Park, W., N. S. Keenlyside, M. Latif, A. Stroeh, R. Redler, E. Roeckner, G. Madec, 2009: Tropical Pacific Climate and its Response to Global Warming in the Kiel Climate Model, J. Climate, 22, 71-92.
12. Latif, M. and N. S. Keenlyside, 2008: El Niño/Southern Oscillation Response to Global Warming, PNAS, doi:10.1073/pnas.0710860105.
13. Sanchez-Gomez, E., C. Cassou, D. L. R. Hodson, N. Keenlyside, Y. Okmura, and T. Zhou, 2008: Multi-model signature of the Indian and Western Pacific oceans warming in the occurrence of the North Atlantic weather regimes, Geophys. Res. Letts., 35, L15706.
14. Keenlyside, N.S., M. Latif, J. Jungclaus, L. Kornblueh, and E. Roeckner, 2008: Advancing Decadal-Scale Climate Prediction in the North Atlantic Sector. Nature, 453, 84-88.
15. Matei, D., N.S. Keenlyside, M. Latif, and J. Jungclaus, 2008: Subtropical Forcing of Tropical Pacific Climate and Decadal ENSO Modulation. J. Climate, 21, 4691-4709. 
16. Hetzinger, S., M. Pfeiffer, W.-C. Dullo, N.S. Keenlyside, M. Latif, and J. Zinke, 2008: Caribbean Brain Coral Tracks Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and Past Hurricane Intensity. Geology, 36, 11-14.
17. M. Latif, C. Böning, J. Willebrand, A. Biastoch, F. Alvarez, N.S. Keenlyside, and H. Pohlmann, 2007: Decadal to Multidecadal Variability of the Atlantic MOC: Mechanisms and Predictability. In AGU Monograph 173 “Ocean Circulation: Mechanisms and Impacts – Past and Future Changes of Meridional  Overturning”, A. Schmittner, J.C.H. Chiang, and S.R. Hemming (Eds.), 149 -166.
18. Bengtsson, L., K. I. Hodges, M. Esch, N.S. Keenlyside, L. Kornblueh, J.-J. Luo and T. Yamagata, 2007: How may Tropical Cyclones Change in a Warmer Climate? Tellus, 59A, 539-561.
19. Keenlyside, N.S. and M. Latif 2007:  Understanding equatorial Atlantic interannual variability. J. Climate, 20 (1), 131-142.
20. Keenlyside, N.S., M. Latif, and A. Dürkop, 2007: On Sub-ENSO Variability. J. Climate, 20, 3452–3469.
21. Latif, M., N.S. Keenlyside, and J. Bader, 2007: Tropical sea surface temperature, vertical wind shear, and hurricane development. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L01710, doi:10.1029/2006GL027969
22. Latif, M. M. Collins, H. Pohlmann, and N.S. Keenlyside, 2006: A Review of Predictability Studies of Atlantic Sector Climate on Decadal Time-Scales. J. Climate, 19 (23), 5971-5987.
23. Jungclaus, J.H., N.S. Keenlyside, M. Botzet, H. Haak, J.-J. Luo, M. Latif, J. Marotzke, U. Mikolajewicz, and E. Roeckner, 2006: Ocean circulation and Tropical Variability in the Coupled Model ECHAM5/MPI-OM. J. Climate, 19 (16), 3952-3972.
24. Latif, M., C. Böning, J. Willebrand, A. Biastoch, J. Dengg, N.S. Keenlyside, U. Schweckendiek and G. Madec, 2006: Is the Thermohaline Circulation Changing? J. Climate, 19 (18), 4631-4637.
25. Wetzel, P., E. Maier-Reimer, M. Botzet, and J. Jungclaus, N.S. Keenlyside, and M. Latif (2006): Effects of Ocean Biology on the Penetrative Radiation in a Coupled Climate Model. J. Climate, 19 (18), 3973-3987.
26. Zhang, R.-H., S. E. Zebiak, R. Kleeman, and N.S. Keenlyside, 2005: Retrospective El Niño Hindcasts/Forecasts Using an Improved Intermediate Coupled Model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 133, 2777-2802.
27. Keenlyside, N.S., M. Latif, M. Botzet, J. Jungclaus, and U. Schulzweida, 2005: A coupled method for initializing El Niño Southern Oscillation forecasts using sea surface temperature. Tellus, 57A(3), 340-356.
28. Zhang, R.-H., R. Kleeman, S. E. Zebiak, N.S. Keenlyside, and S. Raynaud 2005: An Empirical Parameterization of Subsurface Entrainment Temperature for Improved SST Anomaly Simulations in an Intermediate Ocean Model. J. Climate, 18(2), 350-371.
29. T. N. Palmer, A. Alessandri, U. Andersen, P. Cantelaube, M. Davey, P. Délécluse, M. Déqué, E. Díez, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, H. Feddersen, R. Graham, S. Gualdi, J.-F. Guérémy, R. Hagedorn, M. Hoshen, N.S. Keenlyside, M. Latif, A. Lazar, E. Maisonnave, V. Marletto, A. P. Morse, B. Orfila, P. Rogel, J.-M. Terres and M. C. Thomson, 2004: Development of a European Multimodel Ensemble for Seasonal-to-Interannual Prediction (DEMETER). Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 85(6), 853-872.
30. Zhang, R.-H., S. E. Zebiak, R. Kleeman, and N.S. Keenlyside, 2003: A New Intermediate Coupled Model for El Niño Simulation and Prediction. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30(19), 2012, doi:10.1029/2003GL018010.
31. Keenlyside, N.S., and R. Kleeman, 2002: Annual Cycle of Equatorial Zonal Currents in the Pacific. J. Geophys. Res., 107(C8), 3093, doi:10.1029/2000JC000711
32. Arif, I., I. A. Newman and N. Keenlyside, 1995: Theoretical paper: Proton flux measurements from tissues in buffered solution, Plant, Cell and Environment, 18, 1319-1324

 

Submitted publications:

• Meng, Q., M. Latif, W. Park, and N.S. Keenlyside, 2009: Did the Walker Circulation Weaken during the 20th Century? submitted

• Semenov, V. A., M. Latif, D. Dommenget, N. S. Keenlyside, A. Strehz, T. Martin  and W. Park, 2008, The Impact of North-Atlantic Multidecadal Variability on Northern Hemisphere Surface Air Temperature, Geophys. Res. Lett., submitted.

• Hansen, H., M. Latif, and N. S. Keenlyside, 2009: Sensitivity of Equatorial Pacific Climate to Wind Stress Parameterization, Climate Dynamics, submitted

• Lübbecke, J. F., C. W. Böning, N. S. Keenlyside, and S.-P. Xie, 2009, On the connection between Benguela and Equatorial Atlantic Niños and the role of the South Atlantic Anticyclone, J. Geophys. Res. Oce., submitted

 

Other publications:

• Murphy, J., V. Kattsov, N. Keenlyside, M. Kimoto, J. Meehl, V. Mehta, H. Pohlmann, A. Scaife, D. Smith, 2009, Towards Prediction of Decadal Climate Variability and Change, White paper for World Climate Conference - 3.

• Hurrell, J., T. Delworth, G. Danabasoglu, H. Drange, S. Griffies, N. Holbrook, B. Kirtman, N. Keenlyside, M. Latif, J. Marotzke, G. Meehl, T. Palmer, H. Pohlmann, T. Rosati, R. Seager, D. Smith, R. Sutton, A. Timmermann, K. Trenberth, and J.Tribbia, 2009, Decadal Climate Prediction: Opportunities and Challenges, Community White Papers for OceanObs'09

• Latif, M., T. Delworrth, D. Dommenget, H. Drange, W. Hazeleger, J. Hurrell, N. Keenlyside, G. Meehl, and R. Sutton, 2009, Dynamics of Decadal Climate Variability and Implications for its Prediction, Community White Papers for OceanObs'09

  N. Keenlyside, Clean air policy and Arctic warming, Nature Geosciences (News & Views), 2, 243-244, 2009.

• N. Keenlyside, N. Omrani, K. Krüger, M. Latif and A. Scaife, 2008: Decadal predictability: How might the stratosphere be involved? SPARC Newsletter 31, 23-27, 2008.
• Weisheimer, A., F. Doblas-Reyes, P. Rogel, E. Da Costa, N.S. Keenlyside, M. Balmaseda, J. Murphy, D. Smith, M. Collins, B. Bhaskaran, and T. Palmer (2007): Initialisation Strategies for Decadal Hindcasts for the 1960-2005 Period Within the ENSEMBLES Project, ECMWF Technical Memorandum, No. 521, 12pp.
• Latif, M., M. Collins, R. J. Stouffer, H. Pohlmann, and N.S. Keenlyside (2004): The Physical Basis for Prediction of Atlantic Sector Climate on Decadal Timescales. CLIVAR Exchanges 9, 6-8.

• Macke, A., K. Bumke, D. Dommenget, N.S. Keenlyside, K. Krüger, M. Latif, T. Martin, and E. Ruprecht (2006): Institute stellen sich vor: Die Forschungseinheit Maritime Meteorologie des Leibniz-Instituts für Meereswissenschaften IFM-GEOMAR an der Universität Kiel. Promet 32(1-2), 79-82.

• 2007: Fellow in the Emmy Noether Program of the DFG (German Research Foundation)

• 2006: NORBERT GERBIER - MUMM International Award

• German Research Foundation (DFG) – Japan Society for the Promotion Science (JSPS): Atmospheric response to Gulf Stream and Kuroshio variability: its role in the climate system
• Young Scientific Investigator Group (DFG Emmy Noether-Program): "Mechanisms and predictability of North Atlantic
  Decadal Climate variability"
• Joint DFG - Taiwan NSC scientific exchange grant: Scale Interactions in a Coupled Climate Model

Education:
1997-2001	Doctor of Philosophy, Monash University, Australia Thesis: Improved modelling of zonal currents and SST in the tropical Pacific
1996	First Class Honours in Physics, University of Tasmania
1992-1995	Bachelor of Science (Physics and Mathematics), University of Tasmania
Employment:
2008 to present	Head, Emmy Noether Research Group, IFM-GEOMAR
2005-2008	Research Scientist, IFM-GEOMAR
2003-2005	Postdoctoral fellow, IFM-GEOMAR (former Institute for Marine Research, University of Kiel)
2001-2003	Postdoctoral fellow, Max-Planck-Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg
1997-2001	Tutor, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Monash University

Last Update this page: 30.11.2009.